Recently Axa Investment fixed income CIO Chris Iggo said there was a 60 per cent chance of the Bank of England raising rates next year due to recent transportation and energy price hikes. That compares with a one-in-10 chance that the US will move the same way, while other large developed economies are in no position to begin increasing rates.
Rising net debt to earnings is the concern and trying to make sense of what it will bring for investment can be tricky. Eurozone high yield corporate bonds were particularly attractive due to the exceptionally-low inflation expectations but then the US should begin tapering its QE next year, which will be prefaced with much more delicate groundwork by the Federal Reserve,. “The volatility that we had in 2013, I think the mismanagement of the messaging by the Fed was a clear mistake and I think that they have learnt that lesson.” Forward guidance and a “more soothing” communication to bond markets about the separation of tapering and normalising interest rates should make the market “much more sanguine when the taper begins". Enables IFA’s in Bishops Stortford can try and help you navigate the best path for your funds.
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